As anticipated, it is Sego vs. Sarko in the 2007 French presidential race. When polled against each other, Nicolas Sarkozy retains a comfortable lead over Segoline Royal (~6%), however, when doing the math, an interesting point must be brought up that most media outlets have neglected.

Most media has taken for granted the Ultra-right voters that voted for Le Pen in the primaries will vote with Sarkozy and the left of Socialists will vote for Royal. However, Sarkozy, who comes from a largely immigrant and minority background - Hungarian on one side and half Greek Sephardi Jewish on the other will likely not resonate with Le Pen's base. On the flip side, recent immigrants and minorities, especially those worried about security and the barriers to enter entrepreneurial endeavors, will be tempted by Sarkozy's platform.

In any case, the election is not black and white and will be very interesting to follow over the next two weeks.