It looks like it will come down to the wire this year as the polls have been erratic and many people are still undecided or willing to change. 
Sarkozy is in front and it looks like he's going to make it to the next round. The race is on, however between Segolene Royal and François Bayrou, who has fallen recently in the polls.
Its a interesting situation for left centrists who are looking ahead to the final round because Bayrou polls much better than Royal against Sarkozy.









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